We have made it to week 5 of the college football season. For our NC schools, we have a few divisional conference matchups as well as two undefeated home underdogs!
Duke +6.5 vs Miami (Over/Under 56)
- – Duke 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs Miami
- – Last 5 years, Duke is 6-2 ATS as home underdog
- – Last 5 years, Duke home games have gone UNDER 19 of 28 times
Pick: Since Cutcliffe has been at Duke, of all Coastal foes, Duke has struggled the most against Miami, being just 3-6 ATS. Let’s take history and take Miami and under
NC State -12.5 vs Syracuse (Over/Under 64.5)
- – As a TD fave vs FBS schools under Dave Doeren, NCSU is 10-5 ATS
- – NCSU is 10-10 as a home favorite under Dave Doeren
- – In 4 games since Syracuse has joined the ACC, NCSU is 2-2 ATS and 3 of the 4 games have gone under
Pick: Not feeling the letdown, especially since Syracuse could have their own sort of letdown after pouring it out on the field at LSU. Lean State and Over
North Carolina +9.5 @ Georgia Tech (Over/Under 59)
- – UNC is 5-5 ATS in last 10 games vs Georgia Tech
- – UNC is 9-12 ATS as underdog under Larry Fedora
- – 6 of the 7 seven UNC/GT games have gone OVER the total
Pick: Really like the OVER. No feel on the line but maybe GT?
Wake Forest +7.5 vs Florida State (Over/Under 46.5)
- – Under Clawson, Wake Forest is 2-1 ATS vs FSU
- – Wake Forest is 9-6 ATS as a home underdog in last 5 years
- – The last 3 FSU/Wake Forest games have gone UNDER
Pick: Weird lines are weird for a reason. Undefeated Wake vs 0-2 FSU. Let’s take the weird and go Noles and UNDER
ECU +23.5 vs South Florida (Over/Under 76.5)
- – ECU is 4-12 ATS under Scottie Montgomery
- – 5 of 6 ECU home games have gone OVER under Scottie Mo
Pick: Too many points for an ECU with a little confidence. Take over
