Who to Bet On…Week 3 NC Edition


All seven of the FBS teams in North Carolina are in action this weekend. Our crack research team has come up with some trends for each of the teams to maybe give you some guidance when you call in a play to your guy, if you know a guy.

NC State -23 vs Old Dominion

-After a loss under Dave Doeren, State is 7-9 ATS (Against The Spread) in their next game. A caveat, in 2015, State was 3-1 ATS in that situation

-In games vs Non-Power 5 teams, NC State is 6-3 ATS under Dave Doeren

-State is 9-5 ATS in regular season non-conference games under Dave Doeren

Tip: Lots of positive trends for State, take the Pack (which means probably don’t take them)

UNC -24.5 vs James Madison

-UNC is 3-2 ATS vs FCS teams under Larry Fedora

-In Home games under Fedora, UNC covers the spread 63% of the time

-Under Larry Fedora, UNC is 4-3 ATS when favored by at least 20 points

Tip: Heels at home has been pretty decent.

Duke +4/+4.5 at Northwestern

-Under David Cutcliffe Duke has covered 70% of non-conference games

-Under Cutcliffe, Duke covers 58.5% of road games

-Under Cutcliffe, Duke covers and/or pushes 53.5% of the time after a loss (regular season only)

-When spread is +6 to -6 in Duke games, Duke covers 60% of the time

Tip: Duke wouldn’t be a bad bet

Wake Forest -24 vs Delaware

-Wake Forest is 12-12 ATS overall under Dave Clawson

-Wake is 1-1 ATS overall vs FCS teams under Dave Clawson

-Wake Forest is 7-5 ATS at home under Dave Clawson

Tip: Stay away. Sometimes the best bet is no bet.

ECU +3 at South Carolina

-In their last 10 games vs Power 5 teams, ECU is 8-2 ATS (Includes 8-0 in last 8 games)

-ECU is 1-5 ATS in their next game after winning 2 straight in last 3 years

-When spread is +3 to -3 in ECU games in last 3 years, ECU is 1-3 ATS

Tip: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Appalachian State +3.5 vs Miami

-Appalachian State is 2-4-1 ATS vs Power 5 schools since the upset win over Michigan (2007)

-Appalachian State is 4-8 ATS at home in last 2 years

Tip: Trends not looking good for App

Charlotte +3 vs Eastern Michigan

-Charlotte is 5-8 ATS overall in last 2 years

-Charlotte is 2-4 ATS at home in last 2 years

Tip: Gross

BONUS: Carolina Panthers -13.5 vs San Francisco 49ers

-Panthers were 8-2 ATS at home in 2015 (includes playoffs)

-Panthers are 5-1 ATS against NFC West in last 3 years

Tip: Panthers by a million