Who to Bet On…Week 4 NC + Panthers Edition


This weekend 6 of North Carolina’s FBS teams hit the gridiron. Our crack research team has come up with some trends for each of the teams to maybe give you some guidance when you call in a play to your guy, if you know a guy.

We went 4-1 in Week 3 on games we gave you a strong tip on. Just saying.

East Carolina +12 @ Virginia Tech

  • -ECU is 10-1 ATS in regular season games vs P5 FBS schools (includes BYU) since 2013
  • -ECU is 7-0 ATS in regular season games since 2013 when they have been underdogs of at least 7 points
  • -The spread has moved from 7.5 to 12 in this game. When bettors have moved the line in Virginia Tech games since 2013, they are correct 70% of the time

Tip: ECU has been great against ACC teams but the line movement is a little worrisome. Stay away.

Wake Forest +7.5 @ Indiana

-Wake Forest is 11-10 ATS as an underdog under Dave Clawson

-Wake Forest is 5-7 ATS as a road underdog under Dave Clawson

-Wake Forest did not cover at home last year versus Indiana

Tip: Sorry Wake

Appalachian State +6 @ Akron

-App State has covered 4 of their last 5 games where they are a road favorite

-App State is 8-4-1 ATS in road games since 2014

Tip: Roll with our guys from the mountains

Charlotte +27 @ Temple

-Charlotte is 2-8 ATS as an underdog in last 3 seasons

-Charlotte is 2-4 ATS on the road in last 3 years

Tip: Gross again. No pick

UNC -7 vs Pittsburgh

-UNC is 10-6 ATS in home ACC games under Larry Fedora

-UNC is 7-4 ATS in home ACC Coastal games under Larry Fedora

-UNC has covered 57% of games under Larry Fedora where they are favorites of 7 or more

Tip: Heels at Home (if the line stays at 7…no pick if it rises)

Duke +19 @ Notre Dame

-See http://www.sportschannel8.com/who-to-bet-on-week-3/ and drop the percentages

Tip: Stay away

Carolina -7 vs Minnesota

-Panthers 9-2 ATS in last 11 games at home

-Panthers have covered ~70% of time in home games in last 3 years

-Vikings have covered ~75% of time they have been underdogs in last 3 years

Tip: Homer pick. Take Panthers at home vs Vikings minus AP